Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.193300 0.220122 0.248919 0.282089 0.319191 0.359364 0.406105
2025-11-30 0.159384 0.195524 0.236912 0.287644 0.347970 0.417216 0.502519
2025-12-07 0.132483 0.173419 0.222993 0.287076 0.367313 0.464009 0.588874
2025-12-14 0.112474 0.156059 0.211535 0.286691 0.385126 0.508846 0.675178
2025-12-21 0.097217 0.142247 0.202206 0.286928 0.402420 0.553053 0.762824
2025-12-28 0.086594 0.132979 0.197316 0.291724 0.425085 0.604801 0.862915
2026-01-04 0.078686 0.126336 0.194945 0.299136 0.451117 0.662005 0.973316
2026-01-11 0.070660 0.118394 0.189619 0.301355 0.469332 0.708870 1.071601
2026-01-18 0.064873 0.113091 0.187448 0.307630 0.493347 0.764818 1.185465
2026-01-25 0.060241 0.109010 0.186580 0.315490 0.519836 0.825430 1.309037
2026-02-01 0.054334 0.102096 0.180458 0.314352 0.532035 0.864989 1.402921
2026-02-08 0.049201 0.095880 0.174789 0.313246 0.543833 0.904121 1.497689
2026-02-15 0.044379 0.089795 0.168960 0.311687 0.555265 0.944134 1.597494
2026-02-22 0.041482 0.086883 0.168279 0.318697 0.581144 1.008346 1.738874
2026-03-01 0.037817 0.082083 0.163768 0.318576 0.594827 1.053413 1.851661
2026-03-08 0.034555 0.077668 0.159498 0.318424 0.608247 1.098523 1.966570
2026-03-15 0.031714 0.073753 0.155757 0.318830 0.622488 1.145525 2.086714
2026-03-22 0.029741 0.071400 0.154756 0.324185 0.645797 1.209007 2.237619
2026-03-29 0.028251 0.069901 0.155264 0.332379 0.674686 1.283465 2.410729
2026-04-05 0.026295 0.067137 0.152956 0.334842 0.692931 1.339931 2.554945
2026-04-12 0.024934 0.065559 0.152922 0.341756 0.719919 1.413188 2.731984
2026-04-19 0.023829 0.064442 0.153739 0.350403 0.750670 1.494613 2.927113
2026-04-26 0.021974 0.061308 0.149928 0.349156 0.761872 1.540520 3.059771